VfB Stuttgart → SC Paderborn 07 · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    15 Aug
  2. Talks
    15 Aug
  3. Agreement
    15 Aug
  4. Medical
    15 Aug
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Laurin Ulrich to SC Paderborn - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with VfB Stuttgart. The 21 y/o midfielder joins on a one-year loan with no option to buy. At the same time, Ulrich has extended his contract with Stuttgart until 2028. Medical today. He is set to replace https://t.co/tBpTJ14Cmp

claims Medical+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 20% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 92% faded
+1
Completion probability
20%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −36 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −39 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +9 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting15 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
108 recomputations▼ 73 points over the trail
  1. −392mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −362mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. +92mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting