Chelsea → Fenerbahçe Istanbul · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🗣️ Fenerbahçe issue a statement denying reports they are interested in Chelsea's Jamie Gittens. "The news circulating is completely unfounded and does not reflect the truth. We once again clearly state that attempts to use Fenerbahçe for false transfer claims and artificially https://t.co/iPY9BAWuDT

claims Rumoured−1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Ben Jacobs denialBroke ittrust 0.55, 92% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: +6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting16 Aug: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting15 Aug28 Aug2 Sept
93 recomputations▲ 5 points over the trail
  1. +63mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −63mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. +33mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting