Chelsea F.C.SSC Napoli · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 21d ago
32%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    7 Aug
  2. Talks
    7 Aug
  3. Agreement
    13 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 7 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itNew contacts expected between Napoli and Chelsea over Badiashile; working on the formula
  2. 7 AugCooling@DiMarzio: itDistance remains between Napoli and Badiashile in negotiations
  3. 10 AugAdvancing@DiMarzio: itNapoli in fresh contact with Chelsea and Badiashile's representatives to reach a final agreement
  4. 11 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  5. 12 AugCooling@DiMarzio: itChelsea and Napoli have not yet agreed on fee; Blues demanding higher compensation including bonuses
  6. 13 AugReached Agreement
  7. 13 AugAdvancing@FabrizioRomano: Napoli agree deal to sign Benoit Badiashile from Chelsea on loan with €3m fee, €1m add-ons and €27m buy option

What was actually said

9 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing5 reports, led by @DiMarzio@DiMarzio had it first, 1mo ago

itNapoli arrival could be unblocked tomorrow; De Laurentiis expected to approve Chelsea's final request

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano1mo ago

    🚨🔵 Napoli are expected to advance for Benoit Badiashile deal as negotiations are underway with Chelsea. Initial loan discussed with Badiashile giving priority to Napoli over one more club from PL also pushing. https://t.co/DoFFjj397I

  • @DiMarzio1mo agoname shared — matched from context

    itNapoli propose €3m loan with redemption right to Chelsea for Badiashile

    Il @sscnapoli ora stringe per Favasuli e continua a lavorare per Badiashile: proposta da 3 milioni al @ChelseaFC per il prestito e un diritto di riscatto. @SkySport

  • @DiMarzio1mo agoname shared — matched from context

    itNapoli in fresh contact with Chelsea and Badiashile's representatives to reach a final agreement

    .@sscnapoli, nuovi contatti con il @ChelseaFC e l’entourage di Badiashile per cercare l’intesa definitiva @SkySport

  • @DiMarzio1mo ago

    itNew contacts expected between Napoli and Chelsea over Badiashile; working on the formula

    Previsti nuovi contatti tra @sscnapoli e @ChelseaFC per Benoît Badiashile: si lavora sulla formula. Spunta a sorpresa l'alternativa Nayef Aguerd dell'@OM_Officiel @SkySport

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
JournalistTier 1seeded, not yet measuredclaims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio1mo agoname shared — matched from context

    itVerbal agreement reached between Napoli and Chelsea for Badiashile; awaiting De Laurentiis approval on additional €1m bonus requested by Blues

    Accordo verbale tra il @SSCNapoli e il @ChelseaFC per Badiashile: manca solo l'ultimo ok di De Laurentiis per l'ulteriore bonus da 1 milione di euro richiesto dai Blues. @SkySport https://t.co/5PHOZqNBeO

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @DiMarzio@DiMarzio had it first, 1mo ago

itChelsea and Napoli have not yet agreed on fee; Blues demanding higher compensation including bonuses

JournalistTier 2seeded, not yet measuredclaims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio1mo agoname shared — matched from context

    itDistance remains between Napoli and Badiashile in negotiations

    .@sscnapoli, c'è ancora distanza per Badiashile https://t.co/5o22knK8z0

Why it read 32% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 83% faded
+2
Completion probability
32%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%16 Aug: 42%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%23 Aug: 34%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%23 Aug: −8 points, with no new post16 Aug23 Aug28 Aug
19 recomputations 10 points over the trail
  1. 827d agono new post; decay or a rival moving