Leeds United → Hamburger SV · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    15 Aug
  2. Talks
    15 Aug
  3. Agreement
    16 Aug
  4. Medical
    16 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 15 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Hamburger SV in advanced negotiations with Leeds United to loan Sebastiaan Bornauw with an option to buy
  2. 16 AugReached Agreement
  3. 16 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Sebastiaan Bornauw to Hamburger SV - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Leeds United. Bornauw joins on loan with an option to buy. Worth €4-5m. Transfer set to go through, pending medical scheduled for Monday and contract signing. #HSV @SkySportDE 🇧🇪 https://t.co/mL1lCz3lRt

claims Medical+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨⏳ Hamburger SV are now pushing to sign Sebastiaan Bornauw. Advanced negotiations with Leeds United are underway, following the imminent transfer of Nico Elvedi, as revealed today. #LUFC HSV want to loan Bornauw with an option to buy. @SkySportDE 🇧🇪 https://t.co/tRYDQq8oad

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 21% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 91% faded
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
21%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −33 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −32 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting16 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
84 recomputations▼ 74 points over the trail
  1. −332mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −322mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting