TransferHype
Winter 2027

Sebastiaan Bornauw

DF

Leeds United F.C. → Hamburger SV · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 15d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    15 Aug
  2. Talks
    15 Aug
  3. Agreement
    16 Aug
  4. Medical
    16 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 15 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Hamburger SV in advanced negotiations with Leeds United to loan Sebastiaan Bornauw with an option to buy
  2. 16 AugReached Agreement
  3. 16 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 21% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 91% faded
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
21%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%16 Aug: 95%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%23 Aug: 91%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%28 Aug: 90%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 55%29 Aug: 55%29 Aug: 55%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 57%29 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%31 Aug: 24%31 Aug: 24%31 Aug: 23%31 Aug: 23%31 Aug: 23%31 Aug: 23%31 Aug: 22%31 Aug: 22%1 Sept: 22%1 Sept: 22%2 Sept: 21%23 Aug: −4 points, with no new post29 Aug: −33 points, with no new post29 Aug: −32 points, with no new post16 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
84 recomputations▼ 74 points over the trail
  1. −3319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −3218d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. −424d agono new post; decay or a rival moving