Real MadridManchester United F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴 Eduardo Camavinga wants to stay at Real Madrid, amid Man Utd interest #rmcf #mufc https://t.co/5jOTONeGav

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo agono effect

    🔴 Man Utd could turn to Real Madrid's Eduardo Camavinga after learning Myles Lewis-Skelly wants to stay at Arsenal #MUFC https://t.co/8BdPIpz8v3

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: 9%16 Aug: 9%16 Aug: 9%16 Aug: 9%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%23 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%29 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%1 Sept: 9%1 Sept: 9%2 Sept: 9%16 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
84 recomputations 0 points over the trail