TransferHype
Winter 2027

Victor Osimhen

FW

Galatasaray S.K. → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    13 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 13 Augfirst@MirrorFootball: Arsenal sporting director Andrea Berta held talks with Galatasaray over a potential swap deal for Victor Osimhen
  2. 14 AugCooling@MirrorFootball: Galatasaray reject £111m Arsenal offer for Victor Osimhen
  3. 14 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

7 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral4 reports, led by @MirrorFootball
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball1mo ago ↗no effect

    All the latest transfer news as Arsenal reportedly hold talks over a move for Victor Osimhen ✍️🗞️ https://t.co/zsEs0NO5Mp https://t.co/w4vfJuXt8U

  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗no effect

    Galatasaray have made their mind up over selling Victor Osimhen to Arsenal, while Tottenham are also lurking #AFC #THFC https://t.co/Y33KRUjq7r

  • @MirrorFootball1mo ago ↗no effect

    Victor Osimhen breaks silence on Arsenal transfer rumours after £58m talks https://t.co/G7cy5UUPZ8 https://t.co/hFUX1TOUCg

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: 32%16 Aug: 32%16 Aug: 32%16 Aug: 32%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%23 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −8 points, with no new post29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post16 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
84 recomputations▼ 17 points over the trail
  1. −819d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −618d agono new post; decay or a rival moving