TransferHype
Winter 2027

Victor Osimhen

FW

Galatasaray → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    13 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 13 Augfirst@MirrorFootball: Arsenal sporting director Andrea Berta held talks with Galatasaray over a potential swap deal for Victor Osimhen
  2. 14 AugCooling@MirrorFootball: Galatasaray reject £111m Arsenal offer for Victor Osimhen
  3. 14 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

7 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🤩 Osimhen to Arsenal talks 4⃣ Man Utd closing in on fourth signing ❌ Liverpool cancel £171m transfer plans https://t.co/zsEs0NO5Mp

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Galatasaray reject £111m Victor Osimhen transfer offer as Arsenal task made clear https://t.co/71b7wTzfq1 https://t.co/lpEkUWmRlH

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🎯 Arsenal and Tottenham have internally discussed moving for Victor Osimhen 🇳🇬 @FrazFletcher #AFC #THFC https://t.co/0ufTnBoPxt

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral4 reports, led by @MirrorFootball

🚨 Arsenal sporting director Andrea Berta has reportedly held talks with Galatasaray over a potential swap deal for Victor Osimhen https://t.co/mXvmp2FZ5W https://t.co/dIgoKH6Djp

claims TalksView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo ago ↗

    All the latest transfer news as Arsenal reportedly hold talks over a move for Victor Osimhen ✍️🗞️ https://t.co/zsEs0NO5Mp https://t.co/w4vfJuXt8U

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    Galatasaray have made their mind up over selling Victor Osimhen to Arsenal, while Tottenham are also lurking #AFC #THFC https://t.co/Y33KRUjq7r

  • @MirrorFootball3mo ago ↗

    Victor Osimhen breaks silence on Arsenal transfer rumours after £58m talks https://t.co/G7cy5UUPZ8 https://t.co/hFUX1TOUCg

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −8 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −6 points, after @MirrorFootball, @MirrorFootball, @MirrorFootball, @TEAMtalk, @MirrorFootball16 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
84 recomputations▼ 17 points over the trail
  1. −82mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −62mo ago@MirrorFootball: Arsenal sporting director Andrea Berta held talks with Galatasaray over a potential swap deal for Victor Osimhen · @MirrorFootball: Arsenal reportedly hold talks over a move for Victor Osimhen · @MirrorFootball: Galatasaray reject £111m Arsenal offer for Victor Osimhen · @TEAMtalk: Arsenal have internally discussed moving for Victor Osimhen · @MirrorFootball: Arsenal in talks to sign Victor Osimhen for £58m