Sporting CP → Barcelona · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨❌ Nothing agreed, advanced or close for Gonçalo Inacio to Barcelona despite reports this morning. Club sources playing down links with the defender. https://t.co/M5mWLzWsX8

claims Rumoured−5 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itFC Barcelona in talks with Sporting CP for Gonçalo Inácio

Il @FCBarcelona è in trattativa per Gonçalo Inácio dello @SportingCP per @sport https://t.co/jDjWaFVdHN

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+23
Fabrizio Romano denialBroke ittrust 0.75, 77% faded
−5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: +6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▲ 4 points over the trail
  1. +62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting