Lille → RB Leipzig · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚪️ EXCLUSIVE: RB Leipzig submit official bid to Lille for Matias Fernandez-Pardo. Proposal worth €35m package add-ons included has been received by president Letang this morning, personally working on this deal. Negotiations ongoing as Leipzig want Pardo. https://t.co/tUXNJ4qPwC

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+24
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 69% faded
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −8 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −9 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination23 Aug29 Aug31 Aug
76 recomputations▼ 33 points over the trail
  1. −92mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −82mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agonews on a rival destination