LilleRB Leipzig · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+24
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 69% faded
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: 49%23 Aug: 49%23 Aug: 49%23 Aug: 48%23 Aug: 48%23 Aug: 48%23 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 40%28 Aug: 40%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%28 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 33%29 Aug: 33%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 16%28 Aug: −8 points, with no new post29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post29 Aug: −9 points, with no new post30 Aug: −4 points, with no new post23 Aug29 Aug31 Aug
76 recomputations 33 points over the trail
  1. 921d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 823d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 522d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. 420d agono new post; decay or a rival moving