Crystal Palace F.C.Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+21
David_Ornstein coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, 85% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%23 Aug: 23%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%28 Aug: +3 points, with no new post29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations 8 points over the trail
  1. 520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving