Crystal Palace → Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨 Manchester City enquired to Crystal Palace about Adam Wharton but were told 22yo midfielder not available this summer. England international among candidates on #MCFC recruitment list but #CPFC have no intention of selling before deadline @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/XS0ZTot8zV

claims Talks−1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+21
David Ornstein coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, 85% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▼ 8 points over the trail
  1. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −52mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting