BarcelonaReal Sociedad · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 16d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    23 Aug
  3. Agreement
    29 Aug
  4. Medical
    29 Aug
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 23 Augfirst@MatteMoretto: esReal Sociedad maintains interest in Héctor Fort and remains active in pursuit, seeking appropriate conditions to satisfy Barcelona
  2. 29 AugReached Agreement
  3. 29 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

esHéctor Fort travels to San Sebastián today for medical examinations and to sign his contract.

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esReal Sociedad maintains interest in Héctor Fort and remains active in pursuit, seeking appropriate conditions to satisfy Barcelona

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto23d ago+2

    esReal Sociedad and Barça exchanging documents over Héctor Fort

    Real Sociedad y Barça ya intercambian documentos por Héctor Fort. @marca

Why it read 27% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded
+9
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 77% faded, counted at 60%
+3
MatteMoretto advancingtrust 0.75, 57% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−12
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%23 Aug: 38%28 Aug: 37%28 Aug: 37%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 36%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%28 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 74%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 58%29 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 31%31 Aug: 31%1 Sept: 29%1 Sept: 29%2 Sept: 27%29 Aug: +40 points, with no new post29 Aug: −16 points, with no new post29 Aug: −22 points, with no new post23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations 11 points over the trail
  1. +4021d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 2220d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 1621d agono new post; decay or a rival moving