Barcelona → Real Sociedad · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    23 Aug
  3. Agreement
    29 Aug
  4. Medical
    29 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 23 Augfirst@MatteMoretto: esReal Sociedad maintains interest in Héctor Fort and remains active in pursuit, seeking appropriate conditions to satisfy Barcelona
  2. 29 AugReached Agreement
  3. 29 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

esHéctor Fort travels to San Sebastián today for medical examinations and to sign his contract.

Héctor Fort viaja hoy a San Sebastián para someterse a los reconocimientos médicos y firmar el contrato. @marca

claims Medical+9 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esReal Sociedad maintains interest in Héctor Fort and remains active in pursuit, seeking appropriate conditions to satisfy Barcelona

La Real Sociedad no abandona el interés por Héctor Fort y sigue firme en la carrera, buscando las condiciones adecuadas que satisfagan al Barcelona. El Borussia Dortmund sigue apostando por el jugador, pero la negociación aún no ha llegado a su fase final. @marca https://t.co/NQnGvOwS0M

claims Talks+3 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗+2

    esReal Sociedad and Barça exchanging documents over Héctor Fort

    Real Sociedad y Barça ya intercambian documentos por Héctor Fort. @marca

Why it read 27% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded
+9
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 77% faded, counted at 60%
+3
Matteo Moretto advancingtrust 0.75, 57% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−12
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +40 points, after @MatteMoretto29 Aug: −16 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug: −22 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail
  1. +402mo ago@MatteMoretto: Héctor Fort travels to San Sebastián today for medical examinations and to sign his contract.
  2. −222mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −162mo agonews on a rival destination