Chelsea → Hull City · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 18% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    22 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 22 Augfirst@JacobsBen: Hull City exploring a loan move for Chelsea midfielder Dario Essugo; Chelsea prepared to sanction temporary exit
  2. 1 SeptCooling@FabrizioRomano: Hull City are not expected to proceed with Dario Essugo deal from Chelsea, currently off.
  3. 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨🐯 Hull City are NOT expected to proceed with Dario Essugo deal from Chelsea — currently off. Follows decision to sign Tim Iroegbunam as exclusively revealed yesterday. #hcafc https://t.co/4ZjnBVBfKH

claims Talks−8 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Exclusive: Hull City are exploring a loan move for Chelsea midfielder Dario Essugo. Chelsea are prepared to sanction a temporary exit. Along with Premier League interest, a loan to Strasbourg is also possible for the 21-year-old.🇵🇹 With @alex_crook for @talkSPORT. https://t.co/5XFYtbd7mK

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Fabrizio Romano coolingBroke ittrust 0.75
−8
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 79% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −6 points, after @FabrizioRomano23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▼ 20 points over the trail
  1. −62mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Hull City are not expected to proceed with Dario Essugo deal from Chelsea, currently off.
  2. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting