Crystal Palace → Galatasaray · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 19% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Galatasaray are pushing to sign Ismaila Sarr, but Crystal Palace are demanding more than £50m 😲 Man Utd are also keeping a close eye on the situation ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #CPFC https://t.co/4mDxxuDEWI

claims Talks+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 19% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+23
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 77% faded
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
19%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▼ 16 points over the trail
  1. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting