TransferHype
Winter 2027

Alejandro Balde

DF

Barcelona → Manchester United F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 24% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 11 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Manchester United among clubs linked with Alejandro Balde as Barcelona open to selling
  2. 23 AugReached Talks
  3. 23 AugJoined by @MirrorFootball
  4. 31 AugCooling@TEAMtalk: Man Utd have made their mind up over a move for Alejandro Balde after Barcelona made their stance on a permanent sale very clear

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗no effect

    Barcelona are reportedly open to selling Alejandro Balde, with Manchester United among the clubs linked with a move this summer 👀 https://t.co/f8N1aRqlM7

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 24% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.40
−4
MirrorFootball advancingBroke ittrust 0.20, 77% faded, counted at 60%
+1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
24%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%23 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%28 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 25%31 Aug: 25%31 Aug: 25%31 Aug: 25%1 Sept: 25%1 Sept: 25%2 Sept: 25%29 Aug: +22 points, with no new post30 Aug: −21 points, with no new post31 Aug: +12 points, after @TEAMtalk23 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
80 recomputations▲ 10 points over the trail
  1. +2220d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −2120d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +1218d ago@TEAMtalk: Man Utd have made their mind up over a move for Alejandro Balde after Barcelona made their stance on a permanent sale very clear