Crystal Palace → Aston Villa · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 29% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    25 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Aston Villa make bid to Crystal Palace for Jean-Philippe Mateta. Lands far below what #CPFC would seek for 29yo striker but #AVFC interest ongoing alongside indicative offer to AC Milan over Rafael Leao. Relates to Ollie Watkins situation @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/ZcwhQysuj6

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 29% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+24
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 69% faded
+5
Completion probability
29%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▼ 15 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting