Manchester CitySunderland A.F.C. · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 18% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    26 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
David_Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 64% faded
+6
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 46%28 Aug: 46%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%28 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 35%29 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%1 Sept: 18%1 Sept: 18%2 Sept: 18%29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post29 Aug: −4 points, with no new post31 Aug: −13 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations 28 points over the trail
  1. 1319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 421d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 322d agono new post; decay or a rival moving