TransferHype
Winter 2027

Jack Grealish

MF

Manchester City → Sunderland · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 18% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    26 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 EXCL: Sunderland submit offer to sign Jack Grealish from Manchester City. Bid for 30yo winger loan with #MCFC covering part of salary + possibility to become permanent next summer when contract ends. #SAFC pursuing Igor Paixao in parallel @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/RzQWmRrQ9t

claims Talks+6 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 64% faded
+6
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−13
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination31 Aug: −13 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▼ 28 points over the trail
  1. −132mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −42mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting