TransferHype
Winter 2027

Igor Paixão

FW

Olympique de Marseille → Sunderland A.F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 28% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    26 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 26 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Sunderland pursuing Igor Paixao in parallel
  2. 29 AugReached Talks
  3. 29 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 28% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 46% faded
+5
David_Ornstein neutralBroke ittrust 0.75, 64% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
Completion probability
28%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%28 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 42%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 38%30 Aug: 38%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 37%31 Aug: 37%31 Aug: 37%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 33%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%1 Sept: 30%1 Sept: 30%2 Sept: 28%29 Aug: +28 points, with no new post29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post29 Aug: +4 points, with no new post31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations▲ 15 points over the trail
  1. +2819d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −619d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +419d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. −418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving