Oso

FW

SevillaRC Strasbourg Alsace · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 23d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    28 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: RC Strasbourg agree deal to sign Oso from Sevilla for €10m plus 10% sell-on clause
  2. 28 AugReached Done
  3. 28 AugJoined by @MatteMoretto

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

esOso to Estrasburgo in a €10m transfer

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 48% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+50
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 54% faded
+9
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 58% faded, counted at 60%
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−16
Completion probability
48%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 96%28 Aug: 96%28 Aug: 96%28 Aug: 96%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 78%28 Aug: 77%28 Aug: 77%28 Aug: 77%28 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 77%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 76%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 68%29 Aug: 59%29 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%30 Aug: 57%31 Aug: 57%31 Aug: 57%31 Aug: 56%31 Aug: 56%31 Aug: 54%31 Aug: 54%31 Aug: 53%31 Aug: 53%1 Sept: 51%1 Sept: 51%2 Sept: 48%28 Aug: +18 points, after @MatteMoretto28 Aug: −18 points, with no new post29 Aug: −8 points, with no new post29 Aug: −9 points, with no new post29 Aug: −37 points, with no new post30 Aug: +36 points, with no new post2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
73 recomputations 30 points over the trail
  1. 3721d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +3620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +1822d ago@MatteMoretto: Oso to Estrasburgo in a €10m transfer
  4. 1822d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  5. 921d agono new post; decay or a rival moving