TransferHype
Winter 2027

Álvaro Morata

FW

Como → Leganés · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
    28 Aug
  5. Done
    28 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 27 Augfirst@MatteMoretto: esÁlvaro Morata to Leganés in final stages with documentation being exchanged between clubs; administrative procedures expected to conclude tomorrow with signing expected before weekend.
  2. 27 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 28 AugReached Medical
  4. 28 AugReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

Álvaro Morata al Leganés, cerrado. https://t.co/okRnKzRNs4

claims Done+9 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context+1

    esMorata has signed his contract with Leganés

    Morata acaba de firmar su contrato con el Leganés. @marca https://t.co/hjLo1hCnTs

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨🔵⚪️ CD Leganés reach verbal agreement to sign Álvaro Morata, here we go! Spanish second division side set to land the striker on loan from Como, he’s already travelled for medical to take place this weekend. New chapter for Morata. 🇪🇸 https://t.co/2YVIoJmhAa

claims Medical+5 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esÁlvaro Morata to Leganés in final stages with documentation being exchanged between clubs; administrative procedures expected to conclude tomorrow with signing expected before weekend.

El fichaje de Álvaro Morata por el Leganés está en su fase final. Los dos clubes se están intercambiando la documentación. Se prevé que los trámites administrativos concluyan mañana. Se espera que la firma se produzca antes del fin de semana. https://t.co/iJewVYqGXZ

claims Agreement+3 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🇪🇸 Leganés are confident to complete all final details of Álvaro Morata deal over the next 24/48 hours. All set to be completed with Como and the player’s camp. https://t.co/Xr9rqo8bmq

Why it read 62% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+50
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 54% faded
+9
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 54% faded, counted at 60%
+5
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 57% faded, counted at 36%
+3
Matteo Moretto advancingtrust 0.75, 53% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
62%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: +16 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @MatteMoretto, @MatteMoretto30 Aug: −11 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −9 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
33 recomputations▼ 20 points over the trail
  1. +162mo ago@FabrizioRomano: CD Leganés to sign Álvaro Morata on loan from Como, medical scheduled this weekend · @MatteMoretto: Álvaro Morata to Leganés, closed. · @MatteMoretto: Morata has signed his contract with Leganés
  2. −112mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. −92mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting