Manchester United F.C. → West Bromwich Albion F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 16d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
- Rumoured28 Aug
- Talks28 Aug
- Agreement28 Aug
- Medical—
- Done—
What was actually said
2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as agreed
Advancingone reportReported as being in talks
Advancingone reportWhy it read 35% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 53% faded
+6
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 54% faded, counted at 60%
+4
Completion probability
35%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −2620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −819d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- +520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving