ACF Fiorentina → Olympiacos · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

itDodô has rejected a transfer to Olympiakos

La priorità di Dodô è restare alla Fiorentina e prendere una decisione definitiva sul futuro a partire dalla prossima sessione di mercato. Il contratto del brasiliano scade nel giugno 2027. Negli ultimi giorni Dodô ha rifiutato il trasferimento all’Olympiakos.

claims Talks−13 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

itOlympiacos will make a concrete attempt for Dodô from Fiorentina after slowing pursuit of Marcus Pedersen

Frenata per Marcus Pedersen all’Olympiacos: il club greco ora farà un tentativo concreto per Dodô della Fiorentina. Le ultime su Youtube: https://t.co/Ck4U7rjvGm https://t.co/CIe6FKQtic

claims Talks+3 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗+1

    Esclusiva confermata: contatti in corso Olympiacos-Fiorentina per Dodô. https://t.co/UpZeBJccvW

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Matteo Moretto denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−13
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 54% faded, counted at 60%
+3
Matteo Moretto advancingtrust 0.75, 53% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −14 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −28 points, after @MatteMoretto28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
71 recomputations▼ 39 points over the trail
  1. −282mo ago@MatteMoretto: Dodô has rejected a transfer to Olympiakos
  2. −142mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting