Real Madrid → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Arsenal have reignited their interest in Real Madrid youngster Endrick as Mikel Arteta looks to improve his attack, TEAMtalk can confirm 🔴🇧🇷 https://t.co/TM5R2Ct5Tr

claims Rumoured+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 53% faded
+2
Contract news at his clubreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −6 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Aug28 Aug2 Sept
32 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −62mo agonews on a rival destination