Real MadridArsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 53% faded
+2
Signed a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 17%28 Aug: 17%28 Aug: 17%28 Aug: 17%28 Aug: 17%28 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%30 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%31 Aug: 9%1 Sept: 9%1 Sept: 9%2 Sept: 9%30 Aug: −6 points, with no new post28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
32 recomputations 9 points over the trail
  1. 619d agono new post; decay or a rival moving