TransferHype
Winter 2027

Gonçalo Esteves

DF

Unione Sportiva Catanzaro → Carrarese · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    28 Aug
  3. Agreement
    28 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    28 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itEsteves joins Carrarese Calcio on loan from US Catanzaro 1929

.@CarrareseCalcio, ufficiale l’arrivo di Esteves in prestito dal @USCatanzaro1929 https://t.co/f6pZu7wgoq

claims Done+6 pointsname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 32% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 53% faded
+6
Completion probability
32%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −70 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +22 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
71 recomputations▼ 61 points over the trail
  1. −702mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +222mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting