Manchester United → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

5 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

Arsenal and Barcelona continue to show interest in Marcus Rashford, with a late Man Utd exit not entirely ruled out 👀 @GraemeBailey #AFC #MUFC https://t.co/s5AK3wjcTK

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    🗣️ "For 40milion, I am sweeping Marcus Rashford off his feet" 🤔#Arsenal #MUFC https://t.co/HURuAsDcMz

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Arsenal have been given a golden chance to sign Marcus Rashford 😲 https://t.co/Hywntx88Fy

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

🚨🆕 Arsenal and Chelsea have been 'contacted' over a deal for Marcus Rashford! 🤯 Man Utd are fuming with Barcelona's stance and have offered Rashford to their Premier League rivals as they attempt to get him off the books 👋 @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #AFC #CFC

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    🚨🆕 Arsenal and Chelsea have been 'contacted' over a deal for Marcus Rashford! 🤯 Man Utd are fuming with Barcelona's stance and have offered Rashford to their Premier League rivals as they attempt to get him off the books 👋 @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #AFC #CFC

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.40
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug28 Aug
3 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail