TransferHype
Winter 2027

Leonardo Balerdi

DF

Olympique Lyonnais → Roma · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    28 Aug
  3. Agreement
    29 Aug
  4. Medical
    29 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: AS Roma agreed personal terms with Leonardo Balerdi; loan with mandatory buy clause under certain conditions being negotiated
  2. 29 AugReached Agreement
  3. 29 AugReached Medical
  4. 29 AugJoined by @DiMarzio

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🟡🔴 AS Roma fans welcome Leonardo Balerdi as he’s just landed to complete his move from OL. 🎥 @gabspalletta https://t.co/VMY8yBomWx

claims Medical+8 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itBalerdi has landed at Ciampino airport, Roma's airport, for medical

    .@OfficialASRoma, Balerdi è atterrato ora a Ciampino: il video👇 https://t.co/jP4iHCDyMO

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🟡🔴 AS Roma agree deal to sign Leonardo Balerdi from Olympique Marseille, here we go Initial paid loan with buy option clause that could become obligation under certain conditions. The centre back will land in Roma this weekend. https://t.co/qRHU6i4rHt

claims Agreement+4 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🟡🔴 AS Roma have agreed on personal terms with Leonardo Balerdi after Ziolkowski exit on loan to Monza. Negotiations ongoing on loan with buy clause to become mandatory under certain conditions, as @Santi_J_FM reported. https://t.co/J1O4qyMQnZ

claims Talks+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 87% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+73
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 45% faded
+8
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 46% faded, counted at 60%
+4
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 52% faded, counted at 36%
+2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
87%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +50 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @FabrizioRomano1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
71 recomputations▲ 38 points over the trail
  1. +502mo ago@FabrizioRomano: AS Roma agree deal to sign Leonardo Balerdi from Olympique Marseille on initial paid loan with buy option clause that could become obligation under certain conditions · @FabrizioRomano: Leonardo Balerdi landed to complete his move from OL to AS Roma
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting