Chelsea F.C.Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jun
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 24 Junfirst@JacobsBen: Manchester City hold an interest in Chelsea right-back Malo Gusto as they look to add a new right-back.
  2. 24 JunJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 25 JunJoined by @TEAMtalk
  4. 29 JunReached Talks
  5. 29 JunAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Malo Gusto has agreed in principle to join Man City under Enzo Maresca, but Chelsea's asking price is a barrier to completion.
  6. 1 JulCooling@FabrizioRomano: Man City interested in Malo Gusto but unwilling to meet Chelsea's £75m valuation; would explore alternatives if price doesn't drop

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@FabrizioRomano had it first, 3mo ago
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo agono effect

    🚨 Man City like Malo Gusto with Enzo Maresca appreciating him but not planning to spend £75m as Chelsea value him at that price. If price doesn’t drop, City would explore different options. 🎥 https://t.co/cBTE2ezZfB https://t.co/ahxsUvVdVN

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @JacobsBen
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 13%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    Man City have made their minds up over a move for Chelsea full-back Malo Gusto this summer 🤔 @GraemeBailey✍️ | #MCFC #CFC https://t.co/fBrrWxXe5O

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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67 recomputations 15 points over the trail
  1. 1222d agono new post; decay or a rival moving