AS RomaArsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    16 Jun
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 16 Junfirst@MatteMoretto: itManu Koné is not a target for Arsenal
  2. 16 JunJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @TEAMtalk
  3. 16 JunReached Talks
  4. 24 JunAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Manu Kone wants to join Arsenal according to Italian media

What was actually said

4 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Denied outright

Denialone report

itManu Koné is not a target for Arsenal

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%31 Aug: 10%1 Sept: 10%1 Sept: 10%2 Sept: 10%28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 1 points over the trail