to River Plate · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 5mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    17 Jun
  2. Talks
    17 Jun
  3. Agreement
    17 Jun
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    17 Jun

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

esMauro Arambarri to River Plate completed for €6.5 million

Mauro Arambarri al River Plate está cerrado por seis millones y medio de euros.

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −74 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 76 points over the trail
  1. −742mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting