Real MadridReal Betis Balompié · Free · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 18d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    6 Jul
  2. Talks
    6 Jul
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 6 Julfirst@MatteMoretto: esDirect contact between Dani Ceballos and Betis planned for early in the week; salary expectations differ from club's levels
  2. 10 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  4. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esDani Ceballos to Betis, signatures pending

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esDirect contact between Dani Ceballos and Betis planned for early in the week; salary expectations differ from club's levels

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto3mo agono effect

    esBetis in contention for Ceballos

    Dani Ceballos ha sido ofrecido al Villarreal, pero para el club no es una prioridad. No van a hacer ninguna oferta por él. Betis y sobre todo Ajax siguen en la pugna. Ángel Haro, presidente verdiblanco, en Cope: "Hoy hay más condicionantes que no se cumplen que los que se https://t.co/SMVZQmAuB7

Why it read 64% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+7
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−17
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
64%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%1 Sept: 67%1 Sept: 67%2 Sept: 64%29 Aug: −10 points, with no new post1 Sept: +55 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @MatteMoretto2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 42 points over the trail
  1. +5518d ago@FabrizioRomano: Dani Ceballos joins Real Betis on a three-year contract as a free agent after leaving Real Madrid. · @MatteMoretto: Dani Ceballos to Betis, signatures pending
  2. 1022d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving