TransferHype
Winter 2027

Dani Ceballos

MF

Real Madrid → Real Betis Balompié · Free · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    6 Jul
  2. Talks
    6 Jul
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 6 Julfirst@MatteMoretto: esDirect contact between Dani Ceballos and Betis planned for early in the week; salary expectations differ from club's levels
  2. 10 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  4. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esDani Ceballos to Betis, signatures pending

Dani Ceballos, al Betis. Faltan las firmas. https://t.co/85FFeLhGsG https://t.co/Idfi6qnV3q

claims Agreement+15 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🟢⚪️ BREAKING: Dani Ceballos to Real Betis, here we go! He’s back at the club on a three year contract. Deal in place until June 2029, joining as free agent after leaving Real Madrid. https://t.co/OUrGyGJIJA

claims Done+7 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🟢⚪️ Dani Ceballos, in Sevilla right now while talks continue over possible return to Real Betis as free agent. “I want to play, I want to feel important”. 💭 https://t.co/zBVH5VlR24

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esDirect contact between Dani Ceballos and Betis planned for early in the week; salary expectations differ from club's levels

A principios de semana habrá un contacto directo entre Dani Ceballos y el Betis. A día de hoy existe una ligera diferencia entre ambas partes, ya que las exigencias económicas de Ceballos no se ajustan a los niveles salariales del club betico. Para Ceballos, el Betis es la

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto4mo ago ↗

    esBetis in contention for Ceballos

    Dani Ceballos ha sido ofrecido al Villarreal, pero para el club no es una prioridad. No van a hacer ninguna oferta por él. Betis y sobre todo Ajax siguen en la pugna. Ángel Haro, presidente verdiblanco, en Cope: "Hoy hay más condicionantes que no se cumplen que los que se https://t.co/SMVZQmAuB7

Why it read 64% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+7
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−17
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
64%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: +55 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @MatteMoretto2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▲ 42 points over the trail
  1. +552mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Dani Ceballos joins Real Betis on a three-year contract as a free agent after leaving Real Madrid. · @MatteMoretto: Dani Ceballos to Betis, signatures pending
  2. −102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting