Unión Deportiva AlmeríaS.L. Benfica · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    4 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esBenfica in contact with Arribas's agent; Almería values him at no less than €25m

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

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67 recomputations 18 points over the trail
  1. 1722d agono new post; decay or a rival moving