Real Betis BalompiéAFC Ajax · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    7 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

esAjax withdraws definitively from pursuit of Dani Ceballos

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

esAjax is gradually ruling out the option of signing Dani Ceballos

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esAjax in contention for Ceballos

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%28 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 12%1 Sept: 12%2 Sept: 12%29 Aug: −9 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 10 points over the trail
  1. 922d agono new post; decay or a rival moving