Newcastle → SC Freiburg · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 28% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    12 Jul
  2. Talks
    12 Jul
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🟣🔵 Understand Aston Villa are among clubs attentive to Johan Manzambi situation with Newcastle. Newcastle agreed terms with Freiburg but waiting on player’s green light to proceed. #AVFC interested and attentive; it’s up to the player. 🎥 https://t.co/qXOxDcJdyI https://t.co/psZyG9Slc1

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 28% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+62
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−34
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
28%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: −15 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Aug28 Aug
2 recomputations▼ 15 points over the trail
  1. −152mo agonews on a rival destination