Tottenham Hotspur F.C.Newcastle · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    17 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    Tottenham have REJECTED a Newcastle bid for Lucas Bergvall ❌ But an agreement might not be far away 👀 #THFC #NUFC https://t.co/sZEAjlFlMj

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%28 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%30 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%31 Aug: 11%1 Sept: 11%1 Sept: 11%2 Sept: 11%29 Aug: −16 points, with no new post29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 19 points over the trail
  1. 1619d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 318d agono new post; decay or a rival moving