Atalanta BCBrighton · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jun
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 24 Junfirst@DiMarzio: Brighton seeking Ahanor from Serie A
  2. 26 JunReached Talks
  3. 26 JunJoined by @JacobsBen
  4. 14 JulDenial@FabrizioRomano: Atalanta director Giuntoli denies the club will sell Honest Ahanor to Brighton this summer
  5. 14 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 7%30 Aug: 7%30 Aug: 7%30 Aug: 7%30 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 8%31 Aug: 8%31 Aug: 8%31 Aug: 8%31 Aug: 8%31 Aug: 8%1 Sept: 7%30 Aug: −5 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug1 Sept
65 recomputations 4 points over the trail
  1. 520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving