US LecceRCD Mallorca · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    16 Jul
  2. Talks
    16 Jul
  3. Agreement
    16 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    16 Jul

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esÁlex Sala loaned to Mallorca from Lecce with purchase clauses; would sign 4-year deal if made permanent

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio@DiMarzio had it first, 2mo ago

itAlex Sala loaned to RCD Mallorca from US Lecce

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo agono effect

    itAlex Sala to RCD Mallorca on loan

    Due uscite in prestito per il @OfficialUSLecce: Alex Sala verso il @RCD_Mallorca, Marchwinski al @KSCracoviaSA. @SkySport https://t.co/mnK5dabfJh

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%28 Aug: 62%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%30 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%1 Sept: 18%1 Sept: 18%2 Sept: 18%29 Aug: −44 points, with no new post29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post29 Aug: −4 points, with no new post29 Aug: −7 points, with no new post30 Aug: +7 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 44 points over the trail
  1. 4420d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 719d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +718d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. +519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  5. 419d agono new post; decay or a rival moving