VillarrealRCD Mallorca · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    15 Jul
  2. Talks
    15 Jul
  3. Agreement
    24 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esArnau Tenas close to Mallorca from Villarreal with agreement imminent, some details remaining between clubs

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esMallorca pressing for Arnau Tenas

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esMallorca negotiating with Villarreal for Arnau Tenas, with Almería and Levante also bidding

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%28 Aug: 51%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 13%1 Sept: 13%2 Sept: 13%29 Aug: −33 points, with no new post29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 38 points over the trail
  1. 3321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving