Udinese CalcioUnione Sportiva Catanzaro · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jul
  2. Talks
    24 Jul
  3. Agreement
    24 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    24 Jul

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio@DiMarzio had it first, 2mo ago

itSimone Pafundi's arrival at US Catanzaro 1929 from Udinese officially confirmed

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%28 Aug: 88%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 30%29 Aug: 24%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%1 Sept: 16%1 Sept: 16%2 Sept: 16%29 Aug: −57 points, with no new post29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post29 Aug: −12 points, with no new post30 Aug: +4 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 73 points over the trail
  1. 5721d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 1220d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. +419d agono new post; decay or a rival moving