Juventus → ACF Fiorentina · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    23 Jul
  2. Talks
    23 Jul
  3. Agreement
    2 Aug
  4. Medical
    2 Aug
  5. Done
    2 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 23 Julfirst@DiMarzio: itJuventus in talks with Fiorentina over Joao Mario loan move
  2. 2 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 2 AugReached Agreement
  4. 2 AugReached Medical
  5. 2 AugReached Done

What was actually said

10 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itJoão Mario to ACFFiorentina on loan with €1m loan fee and €9m obligation to buy

Le cifre di João Mario alla @ACFFiorentina: operazione da 1 milione di euro di prestito oneroso più 9 di diritto di riscatto. @SkySport https://t.co/TOsZZQL38s

claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancing4 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itJoão Mario to undergo medical as new Fiorentina player tomorrow

Nella giornata di domani João Mario sosterrà le visite mediche da nuovo giocatore della @ACFFiorentina. @SkySport

claims MedicalView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨💜 Fiorentina have agreed loan deal to sign João Mario from Juventus. The agreement included a buy option clause not mandatory. Medical on Monday, as Sky reports. https://t.co/KyJPp6x0UO

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🟣🇵🇹 Medical today at Fiorentina for João Mario as new fullback: €1m loan fee and €9m buy option clause not mandatory from Juventus. Deal in place. https://t.co/URb6k1401J

  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗

    itJoao Mario arrived in Florence for medical examinations

    .@acffiorentina, Joao Mario è arrivato a Firenze per le visite mediche 📹@firenzeviola_it https://t.co/V8BnY5bvMk

Reported as being in talks

Advancing5 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itJuventus in talks with Fiorentina over Joao Mario loan move

.@juventusfc proseguono i contatti con la @acffiorentina per la cessione di Joao Mario. I bianconeri aprono al prestito @SkySport https://t.co/tuBiq19MwT

claims TalksView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗

    itContinuous contacts for a loan with redemption right worth 8-9 million euros

    Joao Mario-@acffiorentina: contatti continui per un prestito con diritto di riscatto da 8-9 milioni https://t.co/9yyl56CztI https://t.co/zYlShotzXK

  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗

    .@acffiorentina, Joao Mario più vicino

  • @DiMarzio3mo ago ↗

    itFiorentina have presented an offer to Juventus for Joao Mario; deal could close this week

    .@acffiorentina presentata l'offerta alla @juventusfc per Joao Mario: la chiusura può arrivare in settimana https://t.co/dzglDXWIdE

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇵🇹 Fiorentina are closing in on João Mário deal from Juventus on initial loan with buy option clause. https://t.co/bYP1tTcJZt

Why it read 27% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
10 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −38 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 42 points over the trail
  1. −382mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting