AC MilanFenerbahçe Istanbul · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 30% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 27 Julfirst@MatteMoretto: itFenerbahçe pressing for Rafael Leão
  2. 27 JulReached Talks
  3. 27 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio
  4. 3 AugCooling@FabrizioRomano: AC Milan reject Fenerbahçe's loan with buy option proposal for Rafa Leão; contacts ongoing but club rules out loan structure

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@FabrizioRomano had it first, 2mo ago
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago

    🚨🟡🔵 Fenerbahçe are set to meet with AC Milan and Rafa Leão representatives to present an official proposal. Fener plan to try buy Leão; Milan owner Cardinale doesn’t open any door to loan moves. Decision up to AC Milan and Rafa soon. 🎥 https://t.co/x6wRhls5KB https://t.co/TFZ5IzJjaT

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago

    🚨🟡🔵 Fenerbahçe are set to meet with AC Milan and Rafa Leão representatives to present an official proposal. Fener plan to try buy Leã; AC Milan owner Cardinale doesn’t open any door to loan moves. Decision up to AC Milan and Rafa soon. 🎥 https://t.co/x6wRhls5KB https://t.co/d2kNk8KwNT

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago

    itFenerbahçe to meet with AC Milan and Rafa Leão's agent tomorrow to discuss overall operation figures

    Domani il Fenerbahçe incontrerà il @acmilan e l'agente di Rafa Leão per capire i numeri complessivi dell'operazione. Prosegue inoltre il dialogo tra il club rossonero e il Galatasaray @skysport https://t.co/a76Ma87Ukp

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

itFenerbahçe pressing for Rafael Leão

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 1seeded, not yet measuredclaims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 30% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
30%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.