TransferHype
Winter 2027

Luis Díaz

FW

Bayern Munich → Al Hilal SFC · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨🔴⚪️ Bayern CEO Dreesen plays down all reports on Luis Diaz to Al Hilal: “We'd be stupid if we sell Diaz, wouldn't we?”. “We have such a fantastic squad, honestly. Let's just get the season underway and start scoring some goals!”, told Kicker. https://t.co/gXoJiiqzfx

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨🆕 Al Hilal have Luis Díaz on their shortlist and have gathered information about a potential move. Al Hilal also tried to sign him last summer and offered him a salary of up to €22.5 million net per year. However: Díaz wants to stay at FC Bayern and has already made that https://t.co/kjgUKnJRs9

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−5
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −6 points, after @Plettigoal31 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail
  1. −62mo ago@Plettigoal: Al Hilal have Luis Díaz on their shortlist and gathered information about a potential move; Díaz wants to stay at Bayern
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting