itKevin Carlos joins Cagliari
claims DoneView on X ↗
to Cagliari · Loan · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
- Rumoured4 Aug
- Talks4 Aug
- Agreement8 Aug
- Medical8 Aug
- Done8 Aug
Catch me up
- 4 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itKevin Carlos to Cagliari on free loan with €4m redemption option
- 8 AugReached Agreement
- 8 AugReached Medical
- 8 AugReached Done
What was actually said
4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as done
Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio
Reported at medical stage
Advancingone reportitKevin Carlos arriving at Villa Stuart for medical examinations with Cagliari
claims MedicalView on X ↗
Reported as being in talks
Advancingone reportitKevin Carlos to Cagliari on free loan with €4m redemption option
claims TalksView on X ↗
Why it read 17% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
17%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −302mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
- −202mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting