Benevento → Napoli · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    31 Jul
  2. Talks
    31 Jul
  3. Agreement
    31 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itSimone Verdi's arrival at Napoli is official

.@bncalcio, ufficiale l'arrivo di Simone Verdi https://t.co/1r8R3d5H3G

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −57 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −18 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 73 points over the trail
  1. −572mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −182mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. +42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting