US Sassuolo CalcioRayo Vallecano · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 24% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    3 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esRafael Obrador is Rayo's preferred option to replace Pep Chavarría; contacts have occurred in recent hours

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esRafael Obrador is on Rayo's list of targets

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 24% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 96% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
24%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.