itAgreement reached between Lazio and Benfica for Ivanovic; player to choose between Lazio and Lens
It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
- Rumoured7 Aug
- Talks7 Aug
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
What was actually said
2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as agreed
Advancingone reportSaid to be cooling
Coolingone reportitTalks with Lazio blocked; player prefers European competition and prioritises Lens
Why it read 15% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
- −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting