Lens → Lazio · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    7 Aug
  2. Talks
    7 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

itAgreement reached between Lazio and Benfica for Ivanovic; player to choose between Lazio and Lens

.@OfficialSSLazio, c'è l'accordo con il Benfica per Ivanovic: il giocatore dovrà scegliere tra i biancocelesti e il Lens @skysport

claims Agreementname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

itTalks with Lazio blocked; player prefers European competition and prioritises Lens

.@OfficialSSLazio-Ivanovic, trattativa bloccata: al momento il giocatore preferisce giocare le coppe europee, e per questo dà priorità al Lens @SkySport

claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 19 points over the trail
  1. −102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting