R.C. LensSS Lazio · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    7 Aug
  2. Talks
    7 Aug
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

itAgreement reached between Lazio and Benfica for Ivanovic; player to choose between Lazio and Lens

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims Agreementname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

itTalks with Lazio blocked; player prefers European competition and prioritises Lens

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%28 Aug: 33%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 23%29 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −10 points, with no new post29 Aug: −7 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 19 points over the trail
  1. 1019d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 718d agono new post; decay or a rival moving