TransferHype
Winter 2027

Franjo Ivanović

FW

S.L. Benfica → R.C. Lens · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 1mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    7 Aug
  2. Talks
    7 Aug
  3. Agreement
    7 Aug
  4. Medical
    9 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 7 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itAgreement reached between Benfica and Lens for Ivanovic; player to choose between Lazio and Lens
  2. 8 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  3. 9 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

itIvanović has rejected Lazio; medical visits with RC Lens scheduled for the week

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itIvanovic prefers Lens over Lazio due to European competition; Lazio talks stalled

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano1mo ago ↗no effect

    🚨 Franjo Ivanović has decided to join RC Lens over Lazio as Benfica will now proceed to sell him. Lens are closing in on the deal. 🟡🔴 https://t.co/hccTXnyQU0

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

itAgreement reached between Benfica and Lens for Ivanovic; player to choose between Lazio and Lens

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims Agreementname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%28 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −16 points, with no new post29 Aug: −15 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▼ 32 points over the trail
  1. −1622d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −1521d agono new post; decay or a rival moving