BarcelonaAl Hilal SFC · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    8 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esAl-Hilal has made contact with Barcelona regarding Marc Casadó in recent hours

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%28 Aug: 26%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 14%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 10%1 Sept: 10%2 Sept: 10%29 Aug: −10 points, with no new post1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 16 points over the trail
  1. 1022d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 318d agono new post; decay or a rival moving