Monaco → Tottenham Hotspur · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    12 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 12 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Nothing concrete or advanced with Tottenham for Folarin Balogun at this stage
  2. 13 AugReached Talks
  3. 13 AugAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Folarin Balogun has agreed to a move to Tottenham
  4. 13 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

⚪️⤵️❌🇺🇸 Nothing concrete between Spurs and Balogun, as reported overnight. #thfc https://t.co/Edw4ZDQceY

claims Rumoured−1 pointname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨🇺🇸 Several clubs have called over recent days for Folarin Balogun, including Galatasaray and Saudi clubs informed on deal conditions from AS Monaco. Nothing concrete or advanced with Tottenham at this stage. https://t.co/ikosL8EmbL

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

⚪️Folarin Balogun has said yes to a move back to the Premier League, specifically with Tottenham ✍️@FrazFletcher | #THFC https://t.co/Jc4O3xp8Cc

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
Fabrizio Romano denialBroke ittrust 0.75, 95% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +5 points, after @TEAMtalk28 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail
  1. +52mo ago@TEAMtalk: Folarin Balogun has agreed to a move to Tottenham