TransferHype
Winter 2027

Folarin Balogun

FW

AS Monaco FC → Tottenham Hotspur F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    12 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 12 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Nothing concrete or advanced with Tottenham for Folarin Balogun at this stage
  2. 13 AugReached Talks
  3. 13 AugAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Folarin Balogun has agreed to a move to Tottenham
  4. 13 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims Rumouredname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
FabrizioRomano denialBroke ittrust 0.75, 95% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 11%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%28 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%1 Sept: 11%1 Sept: 11%2 Sept: 11%29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail
  1. +522d agono new post; decay or a rival moving