TransferHype
Winter 2027

Rafael Obrador

DF

S.L. Benfica → US Sassuolo Calcio · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 1mo ago
76%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Aug
  2. Talks
    9 Aug
  3. Agreement
    9 Aug
  4. Medical
    13 Aug
  5. Done
    11 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 9 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Sassuolo closing in on loan deal for Rafael Obrador from Benfica with buy option clause, agreement almost done
  2. 9 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 11 AugReached Done
  4. 13 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

itRafael Obrador to undergo medical and sign with Sassuolo on loan with €7m redemption option

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio1mo ago ↗no effect

    itRafael Obrador's arrival at Sassuolo is official

    .@SassuoloUS, ufficiale l'arrivo di Rafael Obrador https://t.co/HIifg8DLC3

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

itSassuolo expected to close loan deal with right of redemption for Obrador tomorrow

JournalistTier 2seeded, not yet measuredclaims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 76% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−23
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
76%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.