Olympique de MarseilleNewcastle · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    7 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 7 Augfirst@TEAMtalk: Newcastle exploring a move for Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
  2. 8 AugReached Talks
  3. 10 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen
  4. 10 AugCooling@FabrizioRomano: Newcastle move currently off after Højbjerg turned down proposal despite club meeting OM's valuation

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo agono effect

    Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg has made a DRAMATIC U-turn 🤯 The ex-Spurs man's switch to Newcastle is currently OFF, leaving Matthias Jaissle's side stunned 😬 @GraemeBailey | #NUFC https://t.co/gRHwsbl3np

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 1mo ago
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo agono effect

    🙌 Ex-Tottenham midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg has said YES to joining Newcastle @GraemeBailey #NUFC https://t.co/7pQ7NWe6oI

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 8%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%28 Aug: 31%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%29 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%30 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%31 Aug: 16%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −11 points, with no new post29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 16 points over the trail
  1. 1122d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 321d agono new post; decay or a rival moving