SevillaRayo Vallecano · Summer 2026

Unconfirmed at the deadline
squad data places him at the destination. Not counted in any score
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esRayo pursuing Adrià Pedrosa from Sevilla; option has gained momentum in recent hours

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esPedrosa from Sevilla is another solid option being explored by Rayo Vallecano

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims Rumouredname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 19% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 95% faded
+1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
19%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%28 Aug: 32%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 22%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 20%1 Sept: 20%1 Sept: 20%2 Sept: 19%29 Aug: −10 points, with no new post28 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
67 recomputations 13 points over the trail
  1. 1019d agono new post; decay or a rival moving