Real MadridManchester United F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 21% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    22 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@MirrorFootball had it first, 2mo ago
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    Man Utd hatch transfer plan as Man City star Rodri gives green light to summer move https://t.co/UxKYsfTNVI https://t.co/NHhZVwnLvX

Why it read 21% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 87% faded
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
Completion probability
21%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.